Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.262064 0.281639 0.302410 0.326164 0.352672 0.381448 0.415193
2025-11-30 0.230338 0.258593 0.290540 0.329668 0.376767 0.432241 0.503451
2025-12-07 0.208432 0.240862 0.279128 0.328288 0.390790 0.469066 0.576972
2025-12-14 0.192540 0.227442 0.270002 0.326778 0.402239 0.501729 0.647660
2025-12-21 0.177687 0.213465 0.258216 0.319718 0.404441 0.520997 0.701287
2025-12-28 0.170984 0.208913 0.257591 0.326569 0.425233 0.567327 0.800469
2026-01-04 0.164160 0.203494 0.255108 0.330233 0.441359 0.608250 0.897767
2026-01-11 0.157072 0.197115 0.250668 0.330449 0.452021 0.641640 0.988091
2026-01-18 0.148927 0.188730 0.242778 0.324832 0.452956 0.659233 1.053321
2026-01-25 0.140601 0.179599 0.233212 0.315880 0.447614 0.665472 1.098080
2026-02-01 0.134049 0.172576 0.226198 0.310171 0.446766 0.678970 1.159138
2026-02-08 0.127782 0.165633 0.218882 0.303421 0.443477 0.687560 1.211521
2026-02-15 0.122370 0.159802 0.213083 0.298961 0.444169 0.704450 1.287869
2026-02-22 0.119677 0.157777 0.212837 0.303335 0.460517 0.753064 1.448992
2026-03-01 0.115795 0.153811 0.209408 0.302236 0.467014 0.783385 1.575094
2026-03-08 0.112158 0.150021 0.206019 0.300907 0.472867 0.813114 1.708564
2026-03-15 0.107618 0.144684 0.199952 0.294628 0.468873 0.821565 1.786664
2026-03-22 0.106235 0.144019 0.201123 0.300722 0.488833 0.884614 2.044233
2026-03-29 0.104304 0.142422 0.200704 0.303979 0.503550 0.938392 2.296705
2026-04-05 0.101843 0.139898 0.198657 0.304171 0.512102 0.979147 2.524430
2026-04-12 0.098470 0.135829 0.193907 0.299178 0.509518 0.992387 2.659146
2026-04-19 0.094689 0.130999 0.187718 0.291211 0.500059 0.987116 2.721690
2026-04-26 0.091671 0.127276 0.183219 0.286125 0.496322 0.996164 2.847701